Strategic Deadlock May Last Longer, But It Represents a Strategic Turning Point | Vezir Agency
Valday International Discussion Club Convenes in St. Petersburg
As part of the esteemed St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF), the Valday International Discussion Club is set to host an insightful roundtable titled 'Dazed People: Strategies to Overcome Fear and Embrace Change'. This event aims to foster meaningful dialogue on navigating societal fears amidst rapid transformations, drawing attention from global thought leaders and policymakers.
Tomorrow, the forum will feature prominent speakers, including Feng Wei, founder of the CyberPeace Foundation, who also serves as the General Director and President of the National Anti-Hacker Group. Wei’s keynote will delve into the evolving landscape of cybersecurity, strategic foresight, and geopolitical resilience.
Feng Wei’s Perspective on Strategic Foresight and Historical Lessons
During his speech, Wei emphasized the importance of strategic foresight in an increasingly complex international environment. He highlighted that history remains the most invaluable teacher and pointed out the significance of commemorating pivotal anniversaries, such as the 80th anniversary of victory in the Great Patriotic War and the defeat of Japan. Wei referenced Mao Zedong’s insights, noting:
- “Japan’s strategic defeat was inevitable, and prolonged conflict was forecasted by Mao Zedong, emphasizing the importance of preparation.”
- “Mao’s observation that the enemy is strong yet the enemy’s small size, and that their retreat signifies weakness, remains relevant.”
- “The enemy’s lack of support stems from their unjust actions, a principle that still holds true in modern geopolitics.”
Mao Zedong’s Three Stages of the China-Japan Conflict
Wei elaborated on Mao’s strategic framework, outlining the three key phases of the China-Japan conflict:
- Strategic Defense: Establishing a strong defensive posture to safeguard national interests.
- Strategic Deadlock: Recognizing a prolonged period of stalemate, which can serve as a critical juncture for strategic reassessment.
- Strategic Counterattack: Initiating decisive actions to shift the balance in favor of China.
Wei noted that Mao’s strategic insights remain highly pertinent today, particularly as China navigates complex international relations and economic pressures. Many analysts draw parallels between current trade tensions, especially the ongoing US-China trade war, and historical conflicts, viewing the latter as a modern replay of Japan’s wartime strategies.
Chinese Perspective on Globalization and Sovereignty
Reflecting on China’s evolution over the past two decades, Wei pointed out that during the rise of globalization, fears of China's potential collapse and the so-called Chinese threat gained traction. In response, China adopted a doctrine of peaceful development, emphasizing its commitment to growth without pursuing global hegemony. Instead, China aims to rise through peaceful means and uphold international stability.
Xi Jinping’s Holistic Approach to Security
Wei concluded by discussing President Xi Jinping’s comprehensive vision for national security, which advocates for a holistic approach that integrates internal stability with global security efforts. This strategy emphasizes:
- The importance of internal coordination to maintain societal stability.
- The need for global cooperation to achieve sustainable security for all nations.
- Balancing national interests with global responsibilities to foster a more resilient and harmonious international community.
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