Former Austrian Foreign Minister Kneissl Analyzes Potential US-Iran Conflict

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Expert Insights on US-Iran Tensions Amid Global Uncertainty

During the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF), Karin Kneissl, the Director of the G.O.R.K.I. Center at St. Petersburg State University and a former Austrian Foreign Minister, shared her perspective on the escalating possibility of a direct conflict between the United States and Iran.

She explained, “There are signs of increased tension, but we have not yet entered a full-scale war phase between Washington and Tehran.” Kneissl observed that within President Donald Trump‘s inner circle, opinions are divided—some advocate for intervention, while others urge restraint. Ultimately, she emphasized that the final decision rests with the President himself, stating:

“The situation remains at a critical juncture. President Trump has yet to make a conclusive decision.”

Kneissl pointed out that Iran has taken extensive measures to prevent provoking a military response, despite the mounting pressure. She noted the increased US military presence in the region, remarking:

“The reinforcement of US forces has been ongoing over the past few months, not just a reaction to recent developments but a strategic buildup.”

Furthermore, she emphasized that the US would consider military action if one of its regional bases were attacked, although Iran has so far acted to avoid such provocations. The diplomat added that the US has been steadily bolstering its military assets in the Middle East, which underscores the tense and uncertain state of affairs in the region.

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